A biologist catches 50 fish in a lake, marks them, and releases them. The next day she catches 40 fish and finds that 5 of them are marked.
Estimate the total number of fish in the lake.
Home > Maths quizzes > Grade 6 Quizzes > Capture recapture
Grade 6 • 6P • 10 Questions (30 Marks)
Explanation:
Capture-recapture estimates a total population size N. First, M animals are caught, marked, and released. Later, a second sample of n animals is caught and m of them are found to have marks. Assuming the marked animals mixed randomly, equate the two proportions: MN = mn → N = M × nm.
Key assumptions: no births, deaths, or migration between samples; marks do not rub off; and every animal has an equal chance of being caught.
Example 1: A scientist catches 40 fish in a lake, marks them, and releases them. Next day she catches 60 fish and finds 8 are marked. Estimate the total fish population.
Solution:
Example 2: How would the estimate in Example 1 be affected if some of the marks had washed off overnight?
Solution: