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Probability trees

Free Printable Probability trees PDF Worksheets, Revision Guide & GCSE Past Paper Questions (Grade 5)

Download free probability trees worksheets (PDF), GCSE maths past paper questions and worked solutions for Probability trees (5W). This is a Grade 5 probability topic from the GCSE questions by topic collection for Foundation and Higher tier crossover GCSE Maths (Edexcel, AQA, OCR and IGCSE).

The free PDF worksheets table below brings together printable question booklets (Qs) and worked answers or mark schemes (Ans) from Maths Genie, Maths4Everyone, Corbett Maths, Maths Made Easy, Dr Frost, 1st Class Maths, Dr Austin, Naiker Maths, Metatutor, GCSE Maths Rocket, E Classroom and PMT, along with past paper question booklets.

Below the worksheet links you can read our probability trees revision notes and worked examples with diagrams, try real GCSE past paper probability trees questions with step-by-step solutions, or download a PDF of all probability trees worksheet links.

Free Probability trees PDF Worksheets & Answers

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GCSE Maths Grade 5 Revision Notes & Method

Guide to Probability trees: Explanation, Diagrams & Worked Examples

Download Printable One Page Guide (PDF)

Explanation:

On a probability tree diagram, each pair of branches from the same point must add up to 1. Multiply along the branches for AND (P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B)), and add the end probabilities together when more than one path satisfies the question (OR).

Check whether items are picked with replacement (second-pick probabilities stay the same) or without replacement (reduce total denominator by 1 on the second branches, and reduce the numerator by 1 if that colour was already picked).

Example 1: The probability Sam passes his theory test is 0.8 and practical test is 0.6. Find the probability he passes only one test.

Solution:

P(P, F) = 0.8 × 0.4 = 0.32; P(F, P) = 0.2 × 0.6 = 0.12
Answer: 0.32 + 0.12 = 0.44
Theory Practical 0.8 0.2 P F 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 P (0.48) F → 0.32 ✓ P → 0.12 ✓ F (0.08)

Example 2: A bag has 5 red and 3 blue counters. Two are picked without replacement. Find P(both same colour).

Solution:

P(Red, Red) = 58 × 47 = 2056
P(Blue, Blue) = 38 × 27 = 656
Total = 2056 + 656 = 2656 = 1328
Answer: 1328
Scanned GCSE Exam Questions & Worked Solutions

GCSE Past Paper Probability trees Questions & Answers

Past Paper Example 1 Eduqas Jun 2024 2F Q19 / 2H Q4 4 marks
For her lunch, Gina sometimes eats a salad and sometimes drinks a coffee.
The probability she eats a salad for lunch on a given day is 0.4.
The probability she drinks a coffee on a given day is 0.25.
Eating a salad for lunch and drinking a coffee are independent.
(a) Complete the following tree diagram. [2 marks]
0·4……...Gina eats a saladfor lunchGina does not eata salad for lunch0·25……...Gina drinks a coffeeGina does not drink a coffee……...……...Gina drinks a coffeeGina does not drink a coffee
(b) Calculate the probability that, on a given day, Gina does not eat a salad for lunch but does drink a coffee. [2 marks]
Worked Solution & Mark Scheme (4 marks)
Part (a) Solution:
P(does not eat salad) = 1 - 0.4 = 0.6. M1
Since drinking coffee is independent: P(drinks coffee) = 0.25, P(does not drink coffee) = 1 - 0.25 = 0.75 on both salad and no-salad branches. A1
0·40·6Gina eats a saladfor lunchGina does not eata salad for lunch0·250·75Gina drinks a coffeeGina does not drink a coffee0·250·75Gina drinks a coffeeGina does not drink a coffee
Answer (a): P(not salad) = 0.6; P(coffee) = 0.25 and P(not coffee) = 0.75 on both branch sets.
Part (b) Solution:
P(No salad AND Drinks coffee) = 0.6 × 0.25 = 0.15 M1 A1
Answer (b): 0.15
Past Paper Example 2 GCSE Jun 2025 2H Q11 5 marks
Freya and Ria each do an exam.
The probability that Freya will pass the exam is 0.8
The probability that Ria will pass the exam is 0.85
(a) Complete the probability tree diagram. [2 marks]
FreyaRiapassfailpassfailpassfail0.80.85
(b) Work out the probability that only one of Freya or Ria will pass the exam. [3 marks]
Worked Solution & Mark Scheme (5 marks)
Part (a) Solution:
Freya fail = 1 – 0.8 = 0.2. Ria fail = 1 – 0.85 = 0.15 M1 A1
FreyaRiapassfailpassfailpassfail0.80.850.20.150.850.15
Answer (a): Tree completed (Freya fail = 0.2, Ria pass = 0.85, Ria fail = 0.15)
Part (b) Solution:
P(Freya pass, Ria fail) = 0.8 × 0.15 = 0.12 M1
P(Freya fail, Ria pass) = 0.2 × 0.85 = 0.17 M1
P(only one) = 0.12 + 0.17 = 0.29 A1
Answer (b): 0.29
Past Paper Example 3 AQA Jun 2024 3H Q12 5 marks
Cards are either gold or not gold.
P(gold) = 0.05
Harim chooses a card at random and replaces it.
He then chooses a second card.
(a) Complete the tree diagram. [2 marks]
First cardSecond card0.05GoldNot gold0.05GoldNot goldGoldNot gold
(b) What is the probability that **at least one** of Harim’s cards is gold? [3 marks]
Worked Solution & Mark Scheme (5 marks)
Part (a) Solution:
P(Not gold) = 1 – 0.05 = 0.95 M1 A1
First cardSecond card0.05GoldNot gold0.05GoldNot goldGoldNot gold0.950.950.050.95
Answer (a): First card Not gold = 0.95; Second card branches: 0.95, and 0.05 / 0.95
Part (b) Solution:
P(both not gold) = 0.95 × 0.95 = 0.9025 M2
P(at least one gold) = 1 – 0.9025 = 0.0975 A1
Answer (b): Answer 0.0975

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